Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% — June 10, 2026

Carmelo Mamertino • June 10, 2026

The Bank of Canada announced today that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. For Canadian homeowners, buyers, and anyone with a mortgage on the horizon — here's what you need to know.

What the Bank of Canada Said

The Global Picture

The conflict in the Middle East is now in its fourth month. Higher energy prices and disruptions to global supply chains continue to weigh on economic growth worldwide and push inflation higher. At the same time, U.S. trade policy uncertainty remains elevated, with new tariff proposals continuing to create uncertainty for Canadian businesses and exporters.

In the U.S., economic growth remains solid, supported by consumer spending and AI-related investment. In the euro area, growth is subdued. China continues to benefit from strong exports. Canadian financial conditions have loosened somewhat since the April Monetary Policy Report — global equity markets have been buoyant, though bond yields remain volatile. The Canadian dollar has weakened against the U.S. dollar and other currencies.

The Canadian Economy

Canada's GDP edged down by 0.1% in the first quarter — weaker than the Bank had expected. Consumer spending grew 1.4%, but government spending unexpectedly declined. Housing activity also fell, business investment remained weak, exports dropped, and imports rose strongly as inventories were rebuilt.

On the jobs front, employment was up in May — but looking past monthly swings, employment in Canada has been little changed since the start of the year. The unemployment rate continues to hover in the 6.5%–7% range, with the most recent reading at 6.6% in May.

The good news: the Bank expects growth to resume in the second quarter. But even with a rebound, the economy is expected to remain in excess supply for the near term.

Inflation

CPI inflation rose to 2.8% in April, as expected. The increase reflects higher energy prices and the impact of the consumer carbon tax elimination falling out of the 12-month calculation. Importantly, there has been limited evidence so far of that energy price increase spreading broadly into other consumer prices.

Core inflation measures have moved down to around 2%, and the share of CPI components growing above 3% is now close to its historical average — both positive signs. Food price inflation moderated but remains high. Shelter inflation continued to slow.

With global oil prices still roughly $10 per barrel above the Bank's April assumptions, total inflation is expected to hover around 3% in the near term before gradually easing back toward 2%.

Why the Bank Held

The Bank's Governing Council chose to hold at 2.25%, citing weak economic activity in Canada, persistent U.S. trade policy uncertainty, and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The Bank is continuing to "look through" the war's near-term impact on headline inflation — but has made clear it will not allow higher energy prices to become persistent inflation. The Bank stands ready to respond as the outlook evolves.

What This Means for Mortgage Holders and Buyers

A rate hold means no immediate change to variable-rate mortgage payments or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) tied to the prime rate. The prime rate remains at 4.45%.

The broader message from today's decision is one of patience and watchfulness. Canada's economy is soft, inflation is being driven largely by energy prices rather than broad demand, and the Bank is in a careful holding pattern. This environment doesn't signal imminent rate hikes — but it also doesn't yet open the door to cuts.

For anyone renewing a mortgage, considering a purchase, or weighing fixed vs. variable options, the decisions you make over the next few months matter. A thoughtful conversation with your mortgage professional now can make a real difference.

The next scheduled rate announcement is July 15, 2026 .

As always, every borrower's situation is unique. If you have questions about how today's decision affects your mortgage — reach out. I'm here to help you make sense of it.

Information sourced from the Bank of Canada's official press release dated June 10, 2026.

Carmelo Mamertino

Stress-Testing Your Mortgage Affordability: Why It Matters

By Carmelo Mamertino • July 22, 2026
Buying a home is one of the biggest financial commitments you’ll ever make. That’s why lenders want to be sure you can handle your mortgage payments—not just today, but also if interest rates rise in the future. This is where the mortgage stress test comes in. Many Canadians hear the term but aren’t entirely sure what it means or how it affects them. Let’s break it down in plain language. What Is the Mortgage Stress Test? The stress test is a rule introduced by the federal government that requires all mortgage applicants to qualify at a higher rate than the one they’ll actually pay. Currently, you must qualify at the greater of your contract rate + 2% or the benchmark qualifying rate (set by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions). For example: If your lender offers you a 5-year fixed mortgage at 5.25%, you must show you could still afford the payments at 7.25% . Even if rates don’t rise that high, the stress test ensures you won’t be overextended if they do. Why Does It Matter? The stress test protects both borrowers and lenders by: Preventing over-borrowing : It ensures you don’t take on more debt than you can realistically handle. Preparing for rate hikes : With interest rates fluctuating, it’s a safeguard against sudden increases. Strengthening financial stability : It lowers the risk of defaults, protecting the housing market as a whole. While it can sometimes feel like a barrier—reducing the amount you qualify for—it’s ultimately designed to keep you from becoming “house poor.” How Does It Impact Buyers? The stress test can significantly affect your homebuying budget. For example, without it, you might qualify for a $600,000 mortgage, but with the stress test applied, you may only qualify for $500,000. That doesn’t mean your dream of homeownership is out of reach—it just means you may need to adjust expectations or explore other strategies, such as: Increasing your down payment Paying down existing debts Considering alternative lenders who may have different qualification standards Why Work With a Mortgage Professional? Every lender applies the stress test, but not every lender views your application the same way. An independent mortgage professional can: Shop multiple lenders to find the best fit Run affordability scenarios at different rates Help you understand how much house you can truly afford—without stretching your finances too thin The Bottom Line The mortgage stress test isn’t meant to stop you from buying a home—it’s there to protect you from financial strain down the road. By understanding how it works and planning ahead, you can make smarter choices and buy with confidence. If you’re thinking about purchasing a home, refinancing, or simply want to know how the stress test affects your options, connect with us today. We’ll help you stress-test your budget and find the mortgage solution that works best for you.

Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% — July 15, 2026

By Carmelo Mamertino • July 15, 2026
The Bank of Canada announced today that it is holding its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The tone of today's announcement is notably more optimistic than previous months. Here's what's changed and what it means for you.